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Construction Pipeline

US Housing Completions to Starts Relationship 2025

Census analysis found 2025 housing completions 9.8 percent greater than starts, reflecting pipeline inventory and timing rather than a one-year project conversion.

By PortfolioRental Editorial Team · · Updated 2026-08-08 · 3 sources

Rows of balconies on a residential apartment facade

Key takeaways

  • 2025 completions were 9.8 percent greater than starts.
  • The relationship reflects changes in units under construction.
  • National totals do not identify local rental competition.

Source record

3 cited sources

Last verified

2026-08-08

In this article

Quick Overview

Census analysis of 2025 data reported housing completions 9.8 percent greater than housing starts. That result can occur because units started in earlier periods complete while the inventory under construction changes. It is not evidence that every start completes within one year.

Portfolio application

Use the under-construction series to connect stages, then build a local roster of projects and expected delivery dates. Separate unit counts from buildings and phases.

Common Mistakes

Do not infer completion speed from a national annual ratio. Do not treat a completed unit as leased, available, or competing with the portfolio.

Method and limits

The Census relationship analysis uses rounded estimates and explains inventory changes between stages. The result is a national analytical relationship, not a forecast.

Common Questions Answered

Why can completions exceed starts?

Units started in earlier periods can complete while the stock under construction changes.

What is the local next step?

Verify each project's phase, unit count, completion evidence, opening date, and leasing status.

Ready to review delivered supply?

Use investment analysis to date-stamp each project assumption.

Sources

  1. Census New Residential Construction relationships, accessed August 8, 2026.
  2. Census Survey of Construction, accessed August 8, 2026.

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